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SAP’s cloud beat calms AI fears, but profit outlook dips

July 24, 2026
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SAP gave investors the number they wanted. Europe’s biggest software company said cloud revenue grew 22% to €6.28 billion in the second quarter, beating forecasts, SAP announced. Its cloud backlog, a measure of future sales, jumped 26%. The stock rose more than 6% in Frankfurt.

That relief is the story. SAP’s shares are down about 35% this year, Bloomberg reported, on fears that AI will hollow out the enterprise-software subscription model SAP is built on. It reported in a jittery week of tech earnings. A strong cloud quarter is the clearest answer SAP can give: its customers are still signing up, not walking away.

A beat, and a guidance cut

The picture was not all rosy. Operating profit rose 7% to €2.74 billion, but missed analyst hopes. SAP also trimmed its 2026 profit outlook to €11.8-12.2 billion, the Wall Street Journal reported. The cut reflects the cost of two July acquisitions: the data firm Dremio and the AI startup Prior Labs.

SAP is spending hard to keep up. Chief executive Christian Klein has diverted budget and reshuffled management to fund an AI push, and the company cut hiring and travel to pay for it. It is pushing customers off older on-premise software and into the cloud. It will soon charge more to maintain legacy systems.

The AI story investors aren’t sold on

The bigger question is whether SAP’s own AI is any good. Klein casts it as an “Autonomous Enterprise” that grounds AI in a company’s core data. But some customers have questioned the value of SAP’s early AI tools, and analysts are lukewarm. “SAP still needs to do more to make its AI story compelling,” said Rebecca Wettemann of Valoir. “All its software running on the same platform isn’t a compelling reason to run enterprise AI there.”

So the quarter cuts both ways. The cloud numbers say AI has not broken SAP’s business, and investors were glad to hear it. But SAP has not yet shown that AI will grow it either, even as it spends to fend off rivals like Anthropic. For now, “we are not the disruption’s victim” was enough.

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