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Home Sci-Fi

2 AI races will decide banking’s future

July 5, 2026
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TL;DR

Citi CEO Jane Fraser told the SCMP the financial sector faces two AI races: using the technology to drive revenue, and defending the financial system against AI-powered fraud and cyber threats. She acknowledged job dislocations are coming, and Citi’s own 3,500 China tech cuts show they have already begun.

Citigroup chief executive Jane Fraser says the financial sector is running two AI races at once, she told the South China Morning Post. The first is applying AI to business models to drive revenue growth, shortening product development cycles and improving customer service.

The second race is defensive. Fraser said Citi’s job is to keep the bank, its customers, and the wider financial ecosystem secure, with heavy investment so that fraud, money laundering, and cyber threats “don’t become a problem”.

That defensive race is not hypothetical, as criminals already run sophisticated tech-driven laundering operations. Deepfakes in particular threaten the trust that finance runs on.

Citi has skin in the boom itself. In March, the bank raised its forecast for global AI capital expenditure between 2026 and 2030 to $8.9tn, up from $8tn, citing faster enterprise adoption and the rise of agentic systems.

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Consultancy McKinsey expects agentic advisers to take over many client interactions in retail and private banking. Fraser is more measured on what that means for staff, saying “there will be job dislocations” even as new roles emerge.

She recalled her own analyst days spent photocopying microfiche and faxing it to New York, arguing that jobs change and new ones appear. The transition will not be perfectly timed, she conceded, but employees are being told to embrace the tools.

The dislocations have started

Citi cut 3,500 technology staff in Shanghai and Dalian last year as part of a global cost-cutting drive. Morgan Stanley has estimated AI could eliminate as many as 400,000 European banking jobs by 2030.

Rivals are walking the same line, with Starling cutting 130 jobs while still hiring AI engineers. Startups such as Taktile, which raised $110m to put AI in charge of bank decisions, are supplying the machinery.

The industry has speculated about AI-era finance jobs for the better part of a decade. What has changed is that chief executives now describe the dislocation out loud.

For Fraser, the two races share a finish line. The winning bank is the one that grows faster than the threats aimed at it.

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